Sports bets can be quite profitable if an individual know the strategies the “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make dollars. Most significant secrets that wise money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a ideal instance. We analyzed often the Western Florida vs. Louisville sport, and concluded of which West Va had the particular edge in the game. Yet , My partner and i also understood that there were a lot of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they accomplish not bet on this game. Here is our analysis I released before the game:

West Virginia vs . Louisville

This game features all the indications of being one regarding the best games involving the year, having the two teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, having Western Virginia coming back again from being down major in the fourth quarter to winning in overtime, however,.

So what’s the sport appear like this year?

In the event that this match were getting played from the natural field, West Florida would probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since often the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented rotate. That they haven’t lost considering Oct. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they missing to Va Tech. Inside the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their very last 10 HIGHWAY games.

These kind of are some very amazing stats that tilt this scales in favor regarding WVU with regard to tonight’s game. Plus, the particular extra benefit is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This could not appear like very much, but in a near match-up such as this, that excess point will make the big difference between a new push and a loss.

But some of us wonder what about Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers may be almost as good because WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their own last 10 games, Louisville is just 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS into their final 10 home games.

And if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t shed in your house since 12 18, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. four points per game in your house, while averaging only quitting 15. 6 points for every game from home. In case anyone don’t do the mathematics, that means due to the fact their very own last home decline they have already averaged beating their competitors by means of about thirty four items per game.

Even www.ufabet168s.com/%e0%b9%81%e0%b8%97%e0%b8%87%e0%b8%9a%e0%b8%b2%e0%b8%84%e0%b8%b2%e0%b8%a3%e0%b9%88%e0%b8%b2 , the average line during these games has only also been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten the divide, on average, by way of 13 factors per activity at home due to the fact 2003.

Wow… how can you go against that?

Here’s how…

Most of those stats have been established during the 2005 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They also have had recent games that has they already have only scored 36, twenty-three, 24 points. These types of activities weren’t against Ohio Street. or Michigan. These people were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The bottom line is that this is still some sort of close match to call. Yet what I look for is West Virginia’s safety to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s no explanation to think WVU can’t have one to the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is to lay off this game and definitely not wager at all. There are usually better games this weekend break with more clear-cut positive aspects.

The final score of the game was Louisville 46, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to come back a punt for some sort of TD. The bottom line was the fact that West Virginia’s advantage wasn’t so big they will may still win soon after producing so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this video game, people critical with regards to sports betting saved money they can put to better employ on upcoming games.