Sports activities gambling can be quite lucrative if anyone Realize The techniques often the “smart money” bettors use to persistently make income. One of the greatest secrets that sensible money gamblers use is knowing when NOT in order to Playing.

Here’s a perfect example. My spouse and i analyzed the particular West Virginia vs. Louisville game, and concluded that will West Va had the edge in the game. Yet , I actually also realized that there were a great deal of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not wager on this specific game. Here is the analysis I released before the game:

West Florida vs . Louisville

This activity has all the signs of being one associated with the most effective games regarding the year, along with the two teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, the two having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. was a classic, having Western world Virginia coming again from appearing down big in the fourth 1 / 4 to winning around overtime.

So what’s the sport appearance like this year?

If this video game were turning into played at a good basic field, West Florida would probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented rotate. They will haven’t lost since March. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they lost to Florida Tech. Through the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 HIGHWAY games.

These are some very extraordinary stats that tilt typically the scales in favor regarding WVU intended for tonight’s online. Plus, this added in bonus offer is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This may not look like quite a bit, but in a close up match-up similar to this, that extra point can make the big difference between a push and a loss.

But you may be wondering what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are usually almost as good because WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their own last 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS inside their very last 10 home video games.

And even if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced at home since 12 18, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. four points for every game at home, while hitting only giving up 15. seven points for every game at home. In case you did not do the math, that means given that their last home damage they’ve averaged beating their adversaries by means of about thirty four factors per game.

Furthermore extraordinary, the average line during these games has only been recently 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten this pass on, on average, by means of 13 points per game at home since 2003.

Wow… how can a person go against that?

Here’s the way…

Many of those stats were being accumulated during the july 2004 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been closer to very good than great. They have already possessed recent games where they are yet to only scored twenty-eight, 3, 24 points. These types of activities weren’t against Iowa Stycken. or Michigan. These people had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

The end result is of which this is still the close video game to phone. Although the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s virtually no purpose to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to mid 20’s. My honest suggestion can be to lay off this game and not really wager at all. There happen to be better activities this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut benefits.

The final score with this game was Louisville forty-four, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to gain the punt for a good TD. The bottom line was the fact that West Virginia’s border had not been so big they could very well still win after producing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this specific game, people really serious with regards to sports betting saved money many people can put to better use on approaching games.